SOUTHERN
JAGUARSSOU
5-11 | Road
77
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
WILDCATSBCU
5-10 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
JAGUARS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Bethune-Cookman)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BCU -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BCU)
SOU By 1-7 points
0.0%
SOU By 8-14 points
0.0%
BCU By 1-7 points
0.4%
BCU By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern
63
SOUTHERN
Bethune-Cookman
97
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Simulated Score
Southern
73
SOUTHERN
Bethune-Cookman
69
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (-5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
BCU @ SOU
82 - 79
Jan 12, 2026
SOU @ BCU
77 - 73
Mar 1, 2025
SOU @ BCU
69 - 70
Jan 13, 2025
BCU @ SOU
53 - 69
Mar 14, 2024
BCU @ SOU
73 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+66.4% more
Bethune-Cookman: 4.1
vs
Southern: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+29.4% more
Bethune-Cookman: 14.0
vs
Southern: 10.8
Turnovers (L5)
+20.9% more
Bethune-Cookman: 15.3
vs
Southern: 12.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Bethune-Cookman: 45.5%
vs
Southern: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SOU Score
63.0
77
BCU Score
97.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 29.7
29.0 / 31.0
Assists
14.0 / 10.8
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.1 / 2.4
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 41.2
46.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
71.5 / 69.7
81.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
32.4 / 33.3
37.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.3 / 9.3
4.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 12.7
16.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SOU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
BCU
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SOU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
BCU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +4.7
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BCU
SOU
BCU
SOU
ML
68%
21-10
67%
22-11
79%
22-6
70%
21-9
ATS
65%
20-11
64%
21-12
79%
22-6
70%
21-9
TTL
48%
15-16
42%
14-19
100%
28-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Jason Kidd Nears ESPN Studio Analyst Role for NBA Countdown
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…