PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
21-16 | Road
115
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
24-16 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
RAPTORS
0%
76ERS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
PHI By 1-7 points
15.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
5.8%
TOR By 1-7 points
26.2%
TOR By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
113
PHILADELPHIA
Toronto
120
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Toronto
115
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raptors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raptors (+3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o220.5
Loss
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim
u220.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 12, 2026
PHI @ TOR
115 - 102
Jan 11, 2026
PHI @ TOR
115 - 116
Nov 19, 2025
TOR @ PHI
121 - 112
Nov 8, 2025
TOR @ PHI
120 - 130
Mar 30, 2025
TOR @ PHI
127 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+48.4% more
Toronto: 29.9
vs
Philadelphia: 20.1
Blocks (L5)
+30.7% more
Philadelphia: 8.0
vs
Toronto: 5.6
Turnovers (L5)
+28.6% more
Philadelphia: 15.7
vs
Toronto: 11.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
Philadelphia: 82.2%
vs
Toronto: 78.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
113.0
115
TOR Score
120.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.4 / 28.9
16.0 / 44.0
Assists
29.9 / 20.1
29.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.6 / 8.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 46.7
40.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 82.2
88.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
43.3 / 44.1
38.0 / 36.0
Steals
9.7 / 10.5
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 15.7
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
PHI
TOR
PHI
ML
55%
57-47
63%
69-40
55%
48-39
48%
45-48
ATS
61%
62-40-2
65%
71-38
55%
48-39
48%
45-48
TTL
60%
62-42
55%
60-49
100%
87-0
100%
93-0
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