CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
14-25 | Road
109
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
15-23 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
HORNETS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
CHA By 1-7 points
27.2%
CHA By 8-14 points
20.1%
LAC By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
116
CHARLOTTE
LA
113
LA
Simulated Score
Charlotte
115
CHARLOTTE
LA
108
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Hornets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o223.5
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Sim
u223.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 12, 2026
CHA @ LAC
109 - 117
Nov 22, 2025
LAC @ CHA
131 - 116
Mar 16, 2025
CHA @ LAC
88 - 123
Jan 31, 2025
LAC @ CHA
112 - 104
Mar 31, 2024
LAC @ CHA
130 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+24.2% more
Charlotte: 51.0
vs
LA: 38.6
Assists (L5)
+23.0% more
Charlotte: 28.8
vs
LA: 22.2
Steals (L5)
+51.4% more
LA: 11.0
vs
Charlotte: 7.3
Blocks (L5)
+44.1% more
LA: 6.5
vs
Charlotte: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
116.0
109
LAC Score
113.0
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.8 / 40.2
37.0 / 30.0
Assists
22.2 / 28.8
22.0 / 24.0
Blocks
6.5 / 4.5
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 47.5
45.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
81.6 / 80.3
81.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
38.6 / 51.0
37.0 / 49.0
Steals
11.0 / 7.3
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
16.5 / 15.5
5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
CHA
LAC
CHA
ML
60%
59-40
61%
60-39
55%
45-37
48%
40-44
ATS
66%
65-33-1
60%
59-40
55%
45-37
48%
40-44
TTL
59%
58-40-1
58%
57-42
100%
82-0
100%
84-0
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