Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Cavaliers UTAH @ CLE

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

13-25  |  Road

123
FINAL
Mon, Jan 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

22-18  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
JAZZ --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Cleveland)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

38.2%

Cavaliers Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

UTAH By 1-7 points

21.6%

UTAH By 8-14 points

10.7%

CLE By 1-7 points

27.2%

CLE By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
117
UTAH
120
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
108
UTAH
115
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cavaliers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cavaliers (+13) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Cavaliers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u249.5 Win
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim u249.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 30, 2026 CLE @ UTAH 122 - 113
Jan 12, 2026 UTAH @ CLE 123 - 112
Mar 23, 2025 CLE @ UTAH 120 - 91
Dec 23, 2024 UTAH @ CLE 113 - 124
Apr 2, 2024 CLE @ UTAH 129 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +44.2% more
Cleveland: 4.2 vs Utah: 2.9
Assists (L5) +15.7% more
Cleveland: 32.7 vs Utah: 28.3
Steals (L5) +11.2% more
Cleveland: 9.0 vs Utah: 8.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.8%
Cleveland: 39.8% vs Utah: 29.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 117.0 123
CLE Score 120.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.8 / 29.9 41.0 / 44.0
Assists 32.7 / 28.3 33.0 / 32.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.9 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 54.0 / 45.6 45.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 76.9 / 73.9 100.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 40.1 / 41.0 30.0 / 50.0
Steals 9.0 / 8.1 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 14.5 14.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
UTAH
CLE
UTAH
ML
60% 69-46
60% 96-63
56% 55-44
48% 40-43
ATS
67% 75-37-3
68% 108-51
56% 55-44
48% 40-43
TTL
59% 68-47
75% 119-39-1
100% 99-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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