FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
23-18-3 | Road
4
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
24-15-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Colten Ellis
#92 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Colten Ellis | None-None | 3.13 | 0.903 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.13
--
Save %
0.903
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
SABRES
100%
PANTHERS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
FLA By 1 goal
6.6%
FLA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
BUF By 1 goal
0.9%
BUF By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
5
FLORIDA
Buffalo
1
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
BUF @ FLA
3 - 2
Feb 2, 2026
BUF @ FLA
5 - 3
Jan 12, 2026
FLA @ BUF
4 - 3
Oct 18, 2025
FLA @ BUF
0 - 3
Apr 12, 2025
BUF @ FLA
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+41.2% more
Florida: 25.0
vs
Buffalo: 14.7
Power Play % (L5)
+8.8%
Florida: 20.4%
vs
Buffalo: 11.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Florida: 48.6%
vs
Buffalo: 46.9%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+99.6% more
Buffalo: 17.8
vs
Florida: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
5.0
4
BUF Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.8 / 8.9
18.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
46.9 / 48.6
51.7 / 48.3
Hits
14.7 / 25.0
22.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
11.6 / 20.4
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
27.6 / 26.3
23.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 5.5
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
FLA
BUF
FLA
ML
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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