Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Privateers @ Lions UNO @ SELA

NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

5-11  |  Road

79
FINAL
Mon, Jan 12 • 7:00 PM ET
University Center
View Odds Details →

SE LOUISIANA

LIONSSELA

5-11  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
0%
📊
LIONS
100%
PRIVATEERS --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (New Orleans)
PrivateersUNO (-3.5) 0 LionsSELA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Privateers Cover

94.5%

Lions Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNO -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNO)

UNO By 1-7 points

13.7%

UNO By 8-14 points

24.3%

SELA By 1-7 points

4.0%

SELA By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
72
NEW ORLEANS
56
SE LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
70
NEW ORLEANS
72
SE LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Privateers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Privateers (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 2, 2026 SELA @ UNO 82 - 78
Jan 12, 2026 UNO @ SELA 79 - 76
Feb 1, 2025 UNO @ SELA 68 - 76
Jan 11, 2025 SELA @ UNO 91 - 71
Mar 10, 2024 UNO @ SELA 78 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +29.7% more
New Orleans: 4.3 vs SE Louisiana: 3.0
Rebounding (L5) +19.8% more
New Orleans: 39.1 vs SE Louisiana: 31.4
Free Throw % (L5) +11.9%
New Orleans: 80.7% vs SE Louisiana: 68.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
New Orleans: 32.6% vs SE Louisiana: 29.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNO Score 72.0 79
SELA Score 56.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.7 / 32.6 27.0 / 38.0
Assists 12.2 / 12.5 10.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.0 / 4.3 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 44.4 36.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 68.8 / 80.7 67.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 39.1 37.0 / 43.0
Steals 6.2 / 4.1 9.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 13.1 9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
SELA
9-22-0 (29.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
SELA
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SELA
UNO
SELA
UNO
ML
70% 21-9
52% 16-15
66% 19-10
57% 17-13
ATS
60% 18-12
52% 16-15
67% 20-10
57% 17-13
TTL
70% 21-9
58% 18-13
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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