AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
CARDINALS
100%
HUSKIES
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Houston Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HCU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)
HCU By 1-7 points
8.0%
HCU By 8-14 points
18.6%
LAM By 1-7 points
1.7%
LAM By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston Christian
69
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Lamar
49
LAMAR
Simulated Score
Houston Christian
68
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Lamar
75
LAMAR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Huskies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Huskies (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Cardinals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 2, 2026
LAM @ HCU
53 - 75
Jan 12, 2026
HCU @ LAM
56 - 64
Feb 22, 2025
LAM @ HCU
66 - 58
Jan 4, 2025
HCU @ LAM
61 - 63
Mar 6, 2024
HCU @ LAM
68 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+18.0% more
Houston Christian: 14.5
vs
Lamar: 11.9
Assists (L5)
+15.7% more
Houston Christian: 13.1
vs
Lamar: 11.0
Blocks (L5)
+13.1% more
Houston Christian: 3.4
vs
Lamar: 2.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Houston Christian: 44.8%
vs
Lamar: 38.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCU Score
69.0
56
LAM Score
49.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 27.4
39.0 / 20.0
Assists
11.0 / 13.1
14.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.4
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.5 / 44.8
45.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 73.7
74.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 29.3
33.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.2 / 5.4
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 14.5
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
LAM
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
LAM
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAM
HCU
LAM
HCU
ML
55%
16-13
68%
21-10
59%
17-12
81%
25-6
ATS
52%
15-14
58%
18-13
60%
18-12
81%
26-6
TTL
72%
21-8
68%
21-10
100%
30-0
100%
32-0