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SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

2-15  |  Road

74
FINAL
Mon, Jan 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Physical Education Complex
View Odds Details →

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

3-16  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
BULLDOGS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (South Carolina State)
BulldogsSCST (-3.5) 0 EaglesCOPP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

97.7%

Eagles Cover

2.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SCST -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCST)

SCST By 1-7 points

8.0%

SCST By 8-14 points

18.6%

COPP By 1-7 points

1.7%

COPP By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
95
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
75
COPPIN STATE
Simulated Score
68
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
72
COPPIN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 COPP @ SCST 59 - 57
Jan 12, 2026 SCST @ COPP 74 - 72
Mar 12, 2025 COPP @ SCST 63 - 68
Feb 17, 2025 COPP @ SCST 57 - 87
Jan 6, 2025 SCST @ COPP 85 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +10.8% more
Coppin State: 13.1 vs South Carolina State: 11.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
Coppin State: 40.8% vs South Carolina State: 32.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.7%
Coppin State: 63.5% vs South Carolina State: 56.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCST Score 95.0 74
COPP Score 75.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.8 / 32.0 38.0 / 53.0
Assists 13.1 / 11.8 12.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.2 1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 44.5 36.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 63.5 / 56.8 74.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 29.7 / 30.3 33.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.3 / 5.1 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 15.1 / 15.9 14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
31%MONEY69%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST Advantage
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COPP
SCST
COPP
SCST
ML
65% 20-11
61% 19-12
79% 19-5
74% 20-7
ATS
68% 21-10
68% 21-10
79% 19-5
74% 20-7
TTL
52% 16-15
52% 16-15
100% 24-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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