Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hornets @ Bison DSU @ HOW

DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

5-12  |  Road

58
FINAL
Mon, Jan 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Burr Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

9-8  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
BISON
0%
HORNETS --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Howard)
HornetsDSU (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

0.8%

Bison Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOW -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)

DSU By 1-7 points

0.6%

DSU By 8-14 points

0.1%

HOW By 1-7 points

4.0%

HOW By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
65
DELAWARE STATE
89
HOWARD
Simulated Score
68
DELAWARE STATE
75
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bison Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bison (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o130.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u130.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 HOW @ DSU 91 - 59
Jan 12, 2026 DSU @ HOW 58 - 84
Feb 15, 2025 HOW @ DSU 69 - 90
Jan 4, 2025 DSU @ HOW 94 - 100
Mar 16, 2024 DSU @ HOW 67 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +64.4% more
Howard: 3.4 vs Delaware State: 2.1
Rebounding (L5) +14.8% more
Howard: 34.5 vs Delaware State: 30.0
Free Throw % (L5) +2.1%
Howard: 67.8% vs Delaware State: 65.7%
Steals (L5) +13.6% more
Delaware State: 10.8 vs Howard: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DSU Score 65.0 58
HOW Score 89.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 32.0 33.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.6 / 11.7 21.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.4 / 2.1 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 38.5 / 42.2 55.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 67.8 / 65.7 78.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 30.0 36.0 / 22.0
Steals 9.4 / 10.8 9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 16.5 / 16.0 9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
DSU
HOW
DSU
ML
59% 20-14
60% 18-12
71% 22-9
75% 18-6
ATS
59% 20-14
60% 18-12
71% 22-9
72% 18-7
TTL
62% 21-13
57% 17-13
100% 31-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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