VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
16-23-5 | Road
3
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
25-14-6 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Nikita Tolopilo
#60 | G@
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Tolopilo | None-None | 6.00 | 0.854 | -- |
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 3.00 | 0.870 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.00
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.854
Save %
Ldr 0.870
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
0%
CANADIENS
100%
CANUCKS
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
VAN By 1 goal
6.6%
VAN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
MTL By 1 goal
0.9%
MTL By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
5
VANCOUVER
Montreal
1
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canucks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 12, 2026
VAN @ MTL
3 - 6
Oct 25, 2025
MTL @ VAN
4 - 3
Mar 11, 2025
MTL @ VAN
4 - 2
Jan 6, 2025
VAN @ MTL
4 - 5
Mar 21, 2024
MTL @ VAN
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+18.1%
Vancouver: 21.3%
vs
Montreal: 3.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+53.6% more
Montreal: 16.9
vs
Vancouver: 11.0
Takeaways (L5)
+27.2% more
Montreal: 6.5
vs
Vancouver: 5.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.3%
Montreal: 45.3%
vs
Vancouver: 41.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
5.0
3
MTL Score
1.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.9 / 11.0
26.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
45.3 / 41.9
55.8 / 44.2
Hits
23.5 / 22.5
26.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
3.3 / 21.3
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 28.7
41.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
6.5 / 5.1
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
VAN
MTL
VAN
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Bryan Baker's Dominance Out of Bullpen Puts Rays One Win from AL…
Canadiens' Ivan Demidov Sidelined 2-4 Weeks with Lower-Body Inju…