CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
28-14-3 | Road
3
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
27-15-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| John Gibson | None-None | 2.84 | 0.912 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.84
--
Save %
0.912
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
RED WINGS
0%
HURRICANES
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CAR By 1 goal
12.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
DET By 1 goal
19.7%
DET By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
DET @ CAR
2 - 5
Jan 12, 2026
CAR @ DET
3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025
DET @ CAR
2 - 5
Apr 4, 2025
CAR @ DET
3 - 5
Mar 14, 2025
DET @ CAR
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+41.9% more
Detroit: 17.2
vs
Carolina: 12.1
Power Play % (L5)
+10.8%
Detroit: 23.1%
vs
Carolina: 12.3%
Takeaways (L5)
+50.6% more
Carolina: 6.2
vs
Detroit: 3.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+29.6% more
Carolina: 32.3
vs
Detroit: 22.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
3.0
3
DET Score
4.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 12.1
25.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
50.8 / 55.8
36.9 / 63.1
Hits
14.9 / 18.6
19.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
23.1 / 12.3
25.0 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
22.8 / 32.3
18.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
3.0 / 6.2
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CAR
DET
CAR
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
TTL
0%
0-3
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
Panthers Eyeing Vladimir Tarasenko as Insurance for Brad Marchan…
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Canadiens Call Up Jacob Fowler After Samuel Montembeault Injury …
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…