WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
23-16-6 | Road
2
NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
20-20-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Justus Annunen
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 3.10 | 0.857 | -- |
| Justus Annunen | None-None | 2.00 | 0.938 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.10
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.938
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
100%
PREDATORS
0%
CAPITALS
--
PREDATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Nashville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)
WSH By 1 goal
12.1%
WSH By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NSH By 1 goal
19.7%
NSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Nashville
4
NASHVILLE
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Nashville
3
NASHVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Predators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Predators
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Predators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Predators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
NSH @ WSH
2 - 4
Jan 11, 2026
WSH @ NSH
2 - 3
Jan 11, 2025
WSH @ NSH
4 - 1
Nov 6, 2024
NSH @ WSH
2 - 3
Dec 30, 2023
NSH @ WSH
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+48.8% more
Nashville: 6.8
vs
Washington: 4.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.1% more
Nashville: 30.4
vs
Washington: 26.7
Hits (L5)
+11.5% more
Nashville: 19.9
vs
Washington: 17.8
Power Play % (L5)
+3.8%
Nashville: 7.9%
vs
Washington: 4.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.0
2
NSH Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.6 / 15.5
10.0 / 5.0
Faceoff %
52.0 / 51.0
47.3 / 52.7
Hits
19.9 / 17.8
16.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
7.9 / 4.1
33.3 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
30.4 / 26.7
21.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
6.8 / 4.6
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
WSH
NSH
WSH
ML
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
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