WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
10-27 | Road
93
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
23-15 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
SUNS
0%
WIZARDS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
WSH By 1-7 points
4.0%
WSH By 8-14 points
0.8%
PHX By 1-7 points
13.7%
PHX By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
109
WASHINGTON
Phoenix
125
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Washington
124
WASHINGTON
Phoenix
112
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wizards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Suns (-15)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Wizards (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o230.0
Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u230.0
Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 11, 2026
WSH @ PHX
93 - 112
Dec 29, 2025
PHX @ WSH
115 - 101
Jan 25, 2025
WSH @ PHX
109 - 119
Jan 16, 2025
PHX @ WSH
130 - 123
Feb 4, 2024
PHX @ WSH
140 - 112
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Phoenix: 37.2%
vs
Washington: 34.7%
Blocks (L5)
+51.6% more
Washington: 7.6
vs
Phoenix: 3.7
Turnovers (L5)
+26.2% more
Washington: 18.3
vs
Phoenix: 13.5
Steals (L5)
+14.8% more
Washington: 9.2
vs
Phoenix: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
109.0
93
PHX Score
125.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 34.7
33.0 / 23.0
Assists
24.8 / 25.3
32.0 / 22.0
Blocks
3.7 / 7.6
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 46.1
42.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 83.1
79.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
43.7 / 42.2
51.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.8 / 9.2
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 18.3
16.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
WSH
PHX
WSH
ML
57%
60-45
70%
112-49
51%
45-43
47%
39-44
ATS
58%
59-43-3
69%
111-49-1
51%
45-43
47%
39-44
TTL
59%
61-42-2
74%
119-41-1
100%
88-0
100%
83-0
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