Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Trail Blazers NY @ POR

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

24-14  |  Road

123
FINAL
Sun, Jan 11 • 6:00 PM ET
Moda Center
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

19-20  |  Home

114
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
KNICKS --
TRAIL BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
245.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 Trail BlazersPOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

46.0%

Trail Blazers Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around POR +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)

NY By 1-7 points

26.2%

NY By 8-14 points

16.9%

POR By 1-7 points

24.3%

POR By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
123
NEW YORK
122
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
108
NEW YORK
115
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Trail Blazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Trail Blazers (+5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Trail Blazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o228.5 Win
Proj Total: 245.0
D
Sim u228.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 30, 2026 POR @ NY 97 - 127
Jan 11, 2026 NY @ POR 123 - 114
Mar 30, 2025 POR @ NY 93 - 110
Mar 12, 2025 NY @ POR 114 - 113
Mar 14, 2024 NY @ POR 105 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +12.2% more
New York: 15.8 vs Portland: 13.8
Free Throw % (L5) +3.8%
New York: 85.7% vs Portland: 81.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
New York: 39.5% vs Portland: 35.9%
Steals (L5) +34.9% more
Portland: 7.5 vs New York: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 123.0 123
POR Score 122.0 114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.9 / 39.5 31.0 / 37.0
Assists 25.3 / 24.5 24.0 / 32.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.1 6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 45.3 48.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 81.9 / 85.7 88.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 43.7 / 45.4 39.0 / 45.0
Steals 7.5 / 5.6 9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 15.8 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
POR
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
NY
POR
NY
ML
53% 56-49
61% 114-72
55% 49-40
56% 57-45
ATS
62% 65-39-1
67% 124-62
55% 49-40
56% 57-45
TTL
56% 58-46-1
72% 133-53
100% 89-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 1 hour, 11 minutes ago
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
dallasnews 1 hour, 20 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 1 hour, 36 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 7 hours, 26 minutes ago
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 7 hours, 30 minutes ago