Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Grizzlies BKN @ MEM

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

11-24  |  Road

98
FINAL
Sun, Jan 11 • 3:30 PM ET
FedExForum
View Odds Details →

MEMPHIS

GRIZZLIESMEM

16-22  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
GRIZZLIES
0%
NETS --
GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Memphis)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 GrizzliesMEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

27.4%

Grizzlies Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)

BKN By 1-7 points

16.9%

BKN By 8-14 points

6.8%

MEM By 1-7 points

26.8%

MEM By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
100
BROOKLYN
106
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
109
BROOKLYN
115
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Grizzlies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Grizzlies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Grizzlies (+8) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Grizzlies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u220.5 Win
Proj Total: 206.0
D
Sim u220.5 Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 MEM @ BKN 115 - 126
Jan 11, 2026 BKN @ MEM 98 - 103
Dec 13, 2024 BKN @ MEM 119 - 135
Nov 4, 2024 MEM @ BKN 104 - 106
Oct 30, 2024 BKN @ MEM 119 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +25.9% more
Memphis: 49.8 vs Brooklyn: 39.5
Assists (L5) +20.3% more
Memphis: 29.7 vs Brooklyn: 24.7
Turnovers (L5) +16.6% more
Memphis: 17.2 vs Brooklyn: 14.8
Steals (L5) +38.5% more
Brooklyn: 10.9 vs Memphis: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 100.0 98
MEM Score 106.0 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 33.3 32.0 / 38.0
Assists 29.7 / 24.7 27.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.4 / 5.3 7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 43.4 42.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 80.5 100.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 49.8 / 39.5 54.0 / 43.0
Steals 6.7 / 10.9 6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 17.2 / 14.8 15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
MEM Advantage
25-57-0 (30.5%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN Advantage
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
MEM
37-45-0 (45.1%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
BKN
MEM
BKN
ML
57% 59-44
53% 50-45
50% 41-41
59% 48-34
ATS
63% 65-38
52% 48-44-3
50% 41-41
59% 48-34
TTL
70% 71-31-1
57% 54-41
100% 82-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
actionnews5 1 day, 1 hour ago
Charles Lee Praises Naz Reid's Seamless Fit with Hornets
sportingnews 1 day, 7 hours ago
Charles Lee Reveals Hornets' Unique Pace Philosophy Ahead of Pre…
si 2 days, 1 hour ago
Zach Edey to Sit Out Grizzlies' Preseason Opener vs. Hawks, Team…
yahoo 3 days, 1 hour ago
Grizzlies Open Practice: Rookie Dance-Off, Skills Challenges, an…
yahoo 4 days, 1 hour ago