PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
21-13-9 | Road
0
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
24-19-2 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Nikita Zadorov
#91 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Nikita Zadorov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
BRUINS
0%
PENGUINS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
PIT By 1 goal
12.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BOS By 1 goal
19.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Boston
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Boston
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
BOS @ PIT
4 - 5
Mar 3, 2026
PIT @ BOS
1 - 2
Jan 11, 2026
PIT @ BOS
0 - 1
Apr 13, 2025
BOS @ PIT
4 - 1
Mar 1, 2025
BOS @ PIT
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+62.8% more
Boston: 23.9
vs
Pittsburgh: 14.7
Power Play % (L5)
+7.1%
Boston: 26.2%
vs
Pittsburgh: 19.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
3.0
0
BOS Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 15.7
18.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
52.0 / 51.9
56.0 / 44.0
Hits
23.9 / 14.7
15.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
2618.0 / 1905.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.5 / 31.0
18.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 4.0
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PIT
BOS
PIT
ML
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
ATS
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
TTL
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
20%
1-4
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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