Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Golden Grizzlies WRST @ OAK

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

10-7  |  Road

94
FINAL
Sun, Jan 11 • 3:00 PM ET
OU Credit Union O'rena
View Odds Details →

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

9-8  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
📊
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
RAIDERS --
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Oakland)
RaidersWRST (-3.5) 0 Golden GrizzliesOAK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

24.2%

Golden Grizzlies Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OAK -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)

WRST By 1-7 points

15.3%

WRST By 8-14 points

5.8%

OAK By 1-7 points

26.2%

OAK By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
72
WRIGHT STATE
79
OAKLAND
Simulated Score
75
WRIGHT STATE
78
OAKLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 11, 2026 WRST @ OAK 94 - 84
Dec 29, 2025 OAK @ WRST 73 - 88
Jan 9, 2025 OAK @ WRST 62 - 66
Dec 5, 2024 WRST @ OAK 64 - 66
Feb 25, 2024 WRST @ OAK 96 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +35.3% more
Oakland: 7.7 vs Wright State: 5.7
Assists (L5) +29.4% more
Oakland: 18.0 vs Wright State: 13.9
Rebounding (L5) +21.5% more
Oakland: 39.8 vs Wright State: 32.7
Free Throw % (L5) +4.1%
Oakland: 82.8% vs Wright State: 78.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WRST Score 72.0 94
OAK Score 79.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.7 / 41.9 37.0 / 50.0
Assists 18.0 / 13.9 9.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.6 / 6.1 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 51.0 47.0 / 59.0
Free Throw % 82.8 / 78.7 72.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 39.8 / 32.7 21.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.7 / 5.7 13.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 12.3 6.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
OAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WRST Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
OAK
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OAK
WRST
OAK
WRST
ML
62% 20-12
37% 13-22
59% 19-13
63% 22-13
ATS
50% 16-16
46% 16-19
59% 19-13
63% 22-13
TTL
62% 20-12
63% 22-13
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Aden Holloway Reinstated to Alabama Basketball Roster, Suspended…
saturdaydownsouth 2 days, 8 hours ago
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days, 2 hours ago
Big 12 2026 Preview: Texas Tech's Title Defense Faces These Chal…
theathleticuk 1 month, 1 week ago
Darrion Williams Picks Texas Tech Over Kentucky for Final Colleg…
yahoo 2 months ago
Darrion Williams Commits to Texas Tech for Fifth Season, Boostin…
slamonline 2 months ago