Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buckeyes @ Huskies OSU @ WASH

OHIO STATE

BUCKEYESOSU

11-4  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sun, Jan 11 • 6:00 PM ET
Alaska Airlines Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

9-6  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKEYES
0%
📊
HUSKIES
100%
BUCKEYES --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BuckeyesOSU (-3.5) 0 HuskiesWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buckeyes Cover

46.0%

Huskies Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WASH +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)

OSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

OSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

WASH By 1-7 points

24.3%

WASH By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
85
OHIO STATE
84
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
70
OHIO STATE
74
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Buckeyes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o154.5 Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 11, 2026 OSU @ WASH 74 - 81
Feb 12, 2025 WASH @ OSU 69 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +10.6% more
Ohio State: 3.4 vs Washington: 3.1
Rebounding (L5) +8.9% more
Ohio State: 35.4 vs Washington: 32.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.0%
Ohio State: 33.6% vs Washington: 27.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.3%
Ohio State: 48.0% vs Washington: 45.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OSU Score 85.0 74
WASH Score 84.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.6 / 33.6 33.0 / 32.0
Assists 14.5 / 13.6 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.4 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.8 / 48.0 50.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 80.6 / 76.1 83.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 32.3 / 35.4 29.0 / 39.0
Steals 6.1 / 5.0 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 10.7 7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OSU Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
WASH
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OSU
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -1.0
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
OSU
WASH
OSU
ML
45% 15-18
53% 18-16
66% 21-11
73% 24-9
ATS
48% 16-17
59% 20-14
66% 21-11
73% 24-9
TTL
70% 23-10
56% 19-15
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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