QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
11-5 | Road
70
SACRED HEART
PIONEERSSHU
5-12 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
PIONEERS
100%
BOBCATS
--
PIONEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
SACRED HEART
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SHU +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHU)
QUIN By 1-7 points
27.4%
QUIN By 8-14 points
21.6%
SHU By 1-7 points
20.1%
SHU By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Quinnipiac
86
QUINNIPIAC
Sacred Heart
82
SACRED HEART
Simulated Score
Quinnipiac
70
QUINNIPIAC
Sacred Heart
75
SACRED HEART
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pioneers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pioneers (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Pioneers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
SHU @ QUIN
98 - 91
Jan 11, 2026
QUIN @ SHU
70 - 60
Feb 14, 2025
QUIN @ SHU
99 - 90
Dec 8, 2024
SHU @ QUIN
73 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+74.9% more
Quinnipiac: 3.8
vs
Sacred Heart: 1.0
Steals (L5)
+30.5% more
Quinnipiac: 8.9
vs
Sacred Heart: 6.2
Assists (L5)
+15.3% more
Quinnipiac: 14.2
vs
Sacred Heart: 12.0
Rebounding (L5)
+11.7% more
Quinnipiac: 36.3
vs
Sacred Heart: 32.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score
86.0
70
SHU Score
82.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 35.4
37.0 / 41.0
Assists
12.0 / 14.2
13.0 / 20.0
Blocks
1.0 / 3.8
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 43.9
38.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
83.6 / 78.8
57.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 36.3
38.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.2 / 8.9
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 12.1
15.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
SHU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
SHU
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHU
QUIN
SHU
QUIN
ML
61%
20-13
66%
21-11
73%
24-9
53%
17-15
ATS
76%
25-8
59%
19-13
73%
24-9
53%
17-15
TTL
58%
19-14
62%
20-12
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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