TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
11-4 | Road
85
UTSA
ROADRUNNERSUTSA
4-11 | Home
52
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
0%
ROADRUNNERS
100%
GREEN WAVE
--
ROADRUNNERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
UTSA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTSA +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTSA)
TULN By 1-7 points
26.2%
TULN By 8-14 points
25.3%
UTSA By 1-7 points
15.3%
UTSA By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulane
67
TULANE
UTSA
60
UTSA
Simulated Score
Tulane
72
TULANE
UTSA
78
UTSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Green Wave
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roadrunners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Roadrunners (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Roadrunners (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
TULN @ UTSA
85 - 52
Feb 5, 2025
TULN @ UTSA
61 - 60
Jan 4, 2025
UTSA @ TULN
63 - 92
Jan 24, 2024
TULN @ UTSA
88 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.0% more
Tulane: 5.5
vs
UTSA: 3.3
Steals (L5)
+26.1% more
Tulane: 9.2
vs
UTSA: 6.8
Assists (L5)
+13.6% more
Tulane: 12.5
vs
UTSA: 10.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Tulane: 41.1%
vs
UTSA: 35.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TULN Score
67.0
85
UTSA Score
60.0
52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.0 / 31.1
24.0 / 45.0
Assists
10.8 / 12.5
9.0 / 22.0
Blocks
3.3 / 5.5
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
35.4 / 41.1
34.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 75.7
58.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 33.4
36.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.8 / 9.2
5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 11.7
16.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
UTSA
5-25-0
(16.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
UTSA
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTSA
TULN
UTSA
TULN
ML
83%
24-5
70%
23-10
48%
14-15
47%
15-17
ATS
72%
21-8
62%
20-12-1
50%
15-15
47%
15-17
TTL
66%
19-10
55%
18-15
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
