CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
MATADORSCSUN
10-7 | Road
79
CAL STATE FULLERTON
TITANSCSUF
7-10 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
MATADORS
100%
TITANS
0%
MATADORS
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Cal State Fullerton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUF -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUF)
CSUN By 1-7 points
10.7%
CSUN By 8-14 points
3.3%
CSUF By 1-7 points
23.0%
CSUF By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Cal State Northridge
86
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Cal State Fullerton
96
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Simulated Score
Cal State Northridge
68
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Cal State Fullerton
71
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Titans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Titans (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Titans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o173.5
Loss
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u173.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
CSUF @ CSUN
90 - 77
Jan 10, 2026
CSUN @ CSUF
79 - 86
Feb 6, 2025
CSUF @ CSUN
63 - 82
Jan 2, 2025
CSUN @ CSUF
95 - 65
Feb 24, 2024
CSUN @ CSUF
65 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.0% more
Cal State Fullerton: 9.7
vs
Cal State Northridge: 7.5
Blocks (L5)
+28.0% more
Cal State Fullerton: 2.2
vs
Cal State Northridge: 1.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.6%
Cal State Fullerton: 69.1%
vs
Cal State Northridge: 64.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Cal State Fullerton: 40.1%
vs
Cal State Northridge: 35.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSUN Score
86.0
79
CSUF Score
96.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.1 / 35.5
41.0 / 33.0
Assists
16.7 / 18.2
22.0 / 21.0
Blocks
2.2 / 1.8
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 48.8
47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
69.1 / 64.6
68.0 / 38.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 43.4
39.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.7 / 7.5
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 14.2
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUN
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
CSUF
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUN
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
CSUF
Advantage
19-11-2
(63.3%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUN
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +2.4
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUF
CSUN
CSUF
CSUN
ML
68%
23-11
58%
19-14
76%
26-8
67%
22-11
ATS
68%
23-11
58%
19-14
76%
26-8
67%
22-11
TTL
59%
20-14
58%
19-14
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
