HOWARD
BISONHOW
9-7 | Road
57
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
HAWKSUMES
5-13 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
HAWKS
100%
BISON
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Howard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOW -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)
HOW By 1-7 points
18.6%
HOW By 8-14 points
26.8%
UMES By 1-7 points
6.8%
UMES By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Howard
80
HOWARD
Maryland Eastern Shore
67
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Simulated Score
Howard
65
HOWARD
Maryland Eastern Shore
78
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bison
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bison (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o130.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u130.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
UMES @ HOW
53 - 79
Jan 10, 2026
HOW @ UMES
57 - 69
Feb 17, 2025
UMES @ HOW
62 - 86
Feb 10, 2025
HOW @ UMES
77 - 57
Mar 2, 2024
HOW @ UMES
70 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+55.3% more
Howard: 4.1
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+35.5% more
Howard: 8.1
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 5.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Howard: 30.7%
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 28.7%
Assists (L5)
+18.9% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 14.2
vs
Howard: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOW Score
80.0
57
UMES Score
67.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.7 / 30.7
37.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.2 / 11.9
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.9 / 4.1
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 38.8
44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
68.2 / 69.6
82.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 32.7
33.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.2 / 8.1
12.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 13.8
18.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
UMES
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW
Advantage
22-8-1
(73.3%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
UMES
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UMES
HOW
UMES
HOW
ML
66%
21-11
59%
20-14
81%
21-5
71%
22-9
ATS
69%
22-10
59%
20-14
81%
21-5
71%
22-9
TTL
66%
21-11
62%
21-13
100%
26-0
100%
31-0
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