Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonels @ Privateers NICH @ UNO

NICHOLLS

COLONELSNICH

7-8  |  Road

90
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 6:00 PM ET
Lakefront Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

5-10  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
0%
📊
PRIVATEERS
100%
COLONELS --
PRIVATEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
NICHOLLS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Nicholls)
ColonelsNICH (-3.5) 0 PrivateersUNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonels Cover

99.7%

Privateers Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NICH -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NICH)

NICH By 1-7 points

1.7%

NICH By 8-14 points

6.8%

UNO By 1-7 points

0.2%

UNO By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
70
NICHOLLS
42
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
73
NICHOLLS
78
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Colonels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Privateers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Colonels (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Privateers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 27, 2026 UNO @ NICH 80 - 62
Jan 10, 2026 NICH @ UNO 90 - 77
Feb 17, 2025 NICH @ UNO 78 - 62
Dec 7, 2024 UNO @ NICH 70 - 73
Feb 19, 2024 NICH @ UNO 89 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +55.6% more
Nicholls: 9.4 vs New Orleans: 4.2
Assists (L5) +16.1% more
Nicholls: 14.6 vs New Orleans: 12.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.0%
Nicholls: 34.8% vs New Orleans: 27.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Nicholls: 47.0% vs New Orleans: 43.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NICH Score 70.0 90
UNO Score 42.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.9 / 34.8 42.0 / 46.0
Assists 12.3 / 14.6 13.0 / 19.0
Blocks 4.4 / 1.8 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 47.0 46.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 77.0 / 62.1 88.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 40.2 / 31.7 37.0 / 23.0
Steals 4.2 / 9.4 4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 12.1 15.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NICH
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
UNO Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NICH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
UNO Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.4
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNO
NICH
UNO
NICH
ML
52% 16-15
53% 17-15
57% 17-13
68% 19-9
ATS
52% 16-15
47% 15-17
57% 17-13
68% 19-9
TTL
58% 18-13
56% 18-14
100% 30-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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