SAINT FRANCIS
RED FLASHSFPA
4-12 | Road
63
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
9-7 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
RED FLASH
100%
SHARKS
0%
RED FLASH
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
95.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
SFPA By 1-7 points
6.8%
SFPA By 8-14 points
1.7%
LIU By 1-7 points
18.6%
LIU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Francis
41
SAINT FRANCIS
Long Island University
54
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Saint Francis
68
SAINT FRANCIS
Long Island University
72
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 95.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
LIU @ SFPA
91 - 89
Jan 10, 2026
SFPA @ LIU
63 - 67
Mar 8, 2025
SFPA @ LIU
71 - 68
Jan 24, 2025
LIU @ SFPA
64 - 74
Jan 18, 2025
SFPA @ LIU
51 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+89.4% more
Long Island University: 3.6
vs
Saint Francis: 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+22.9% more
Long Island University: 36.9
vs
Saint Francis: 30.0
Turnovers (L5)
+17.1% more
Long Island University: 12.6
vs
Saint Francis: 10.8
Assists (L5)
+16.7% more
Long Island University: 17.0
vs
Saint Francis: 14.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SFPA Score
41.0
63
LIU Score
54.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 33.0
17.0 / 50.0
Assists
17.0 / 14.6
11.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.6 / 1.9
11.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 42.5
41.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
66.9 / 72.9
60.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
36.9 / 30.0
49.0 / 23.0
Steals
6.4 / 7.1
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 10.8
19.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SFPA
Advantage
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SFPA
Advantage
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +5.8
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
SFPA
LIU
SFPA
ML
60%
21-14
68%
21-10
69%
24-11
67%
20-10
ATS
63%
22-13
68%
21-10
69%
24-11
67%
20-10
TTL
60%
21-14
58%
18-13
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
