Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Crusaders @ Eagles HC @ AMER

HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

6-10  |  Road

84
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 4:00 PM ET
Bender Arena
View Odds Details →

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

9-7  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
CRUSADERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
HOLY CROSS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Holy Cross)
CrusadersHC (-3.5) 0 EaglesAMER (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Crusaders Cover

100.0%

Eagles Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HC -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HC)

HC By 1-7 points

0.0%

HC By 8-14 points

0.4%

AMER By 1-7 points

0.0%

AMER By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
86
HOLY CROSS
45
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
63
HOLY CROSS
68
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Crusaders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Crusaders (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u137.5 Loss
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 AMER @ HC 76 - 67
Jan 10, 2026 HC @ AMER 84 - 73
Jan 18, 2025 AMER @ HC 74 - 65
Jan 5, 2025 HC @ AMER 64 - 75
Feb 10, 2024 AMER @ HC 56 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +28.6% more
Holy Cross: 1.3 vs American University: 0.9
Rebounding (L5) +9.9% more
Holy Cross: 30.1 vs American University: 27.1
Free Throw % (L5) +5.6%
Holy Cross: 74.2% vs American University: 68.7%
Assists (L5) +33.2% more
American University: 14.6 vs Holy Cross: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HC Score 86.0 84
AMER Score 45.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.0 / 23.6 8.0 / 25.0
Assists 14.6 / 11.0 9.0 / 7.0
Blocks 0.9 / 1.3 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 41.3 41.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 74.2 88.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 27.1 / 30.1 30.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.0 / 6.2 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 10.0 10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
AMER Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
AMER Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMER
HC
AMER
HC
ML
62% 20-12
52% 16-15
62% 20-12
61% 19-12
ATS
59% 19-13
55% 17-14
62% 20-12
64% 21-12
TTL
59% 19-13
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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