Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Grizzlies @ Eagles MONT @ EWU

MONTANA

GRIZZLIESMONT

9-7  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 5:00 PM ET
Reese Court
View Odds Details →

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

2-13  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
GRIZZLIES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
MONTANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Montana)
GrizzliesMONT (-3.5) 0 EaglesEWU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Grizzlies Cover

100.0%

Eagles Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MONT -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONT)

MONT By 1-7 points

0.5%

MONT By 8-14 points

2.7%

EWU By 1-7 points

0.0%

EWU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
96
MONTANA
63
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
74
MONTANA
78
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Grizzlies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Grizzlies (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 EWU @ MONT 82 - 74
Jan 10, 2026 MONT @ EWU 65 - 66
Mar 3, 2025 EWU @ MONT 72 - 83
Jan 2, 2025 MONT @ EWU 92 - 81
Feb 29, 2024 MONT @ EWU 79 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +24.9% more
Montana: 2.8 vs Eastern Washington: 2.1
Assists (L5) +11.2% more
Montana: 15.3 vs Eastern Washington: 13.6
Turnovers (L5) +8.4% more
Montana: 13.4 vs Eastern Washington: 12.3
Field Goal % (L5) +8.1%
Montana: 48.7% vs Eastern Washington: 40.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MONT Score 96.0 65
EWU Score 63.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.8 / 34.8 43.0 / 14.0
Assists 13.6 / 15.3 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.1 / 2.8 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 48.7 45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 78.1 / 82.6 100.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 33.2 26.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.0 / 6.0 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 13.4 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
40%MONEY60%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONT Advantage
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
EWU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONT
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MONT
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.4
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EWU
MONT
EWU
MONT
ML
64% 21-12
39% 13-20
69% 22-10
73% 24-9
ATS
64% 21-12
55% 18-15
69% 22-10
73% 24-9
TTL
48% 16-17
59% 19-13-1
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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