LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
5-11 | Road
78
COLGATE
RAIDERSCOLG
9-7 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
RAIDERS
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Colgate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLG -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)
LEH By 1-7 points
8.0%
LEH By 8-14 points
2.2%
COLG By 1-7 points
20.1%
COLG By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
67
LEHIGH
Colgate
79
COLGATE
Simulated Score
Lehigh
65
LEHIGH
Colgate
72
COLGATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raiders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raiders (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Raiders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
COLG @ LEH
69 - 76
Jan 31, 2026
COLG @ LEH
76 - 77
Jan 10, 2026
LEH @ COLG
78 - 77
Feb 3, 2025
COLG @ LEH
68 - 94
Jan 8, 2025
LEH @ COLG
62 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+15.7% more
Colgate: 15.5
vs
Lehigh: 13.4
Rebounding (L5)
+10.6% more
Colgate: 34.2
vs
Lehigh: 30.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Colgate: 34.7%
vs
Lehigh: 33.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+35.7% more
Lehigh: 14.8
vs
Colgate: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
67.0
78
COLG Score
79.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 33.0
41.0 / 53.0
Assists
15.5 / 13.4
16.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.5
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 47.2
47.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 75.4
76.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 30.9
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.0 / 7.7
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 14.8
10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLG
LEH
COLG
LEH
ML
59%
19-13
56%
19-15
69%
22-10
68%
23-11
ATS
72%
23-9
56%
19-15
70%
23-10
68%
23-11
TTL
78%
25-7
76%
26-8
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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