SE LOUISIANA
LIONSSELA
5-10 | Road
61
MCNEESE
COWBOYSMCN
12-3 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
COWBOYS
0%
LIONS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
MCNEESE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (McNeese)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MCN -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MCN)
SELA By 1-7 points
1.7%
SELA By 8-14 points
0.3%
MCN By 1-7 points
8.0%
MCN By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
SE Louisiana
56
SE LOUISIANA
McNeese
76
MCNEESE
Simulated Score
SE Louisiana
68
SE LOUISIANA
McNeese
75
MCNEESE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (-16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
MCN @ SELA
76 - 66
Jan 10, 2026
SELA @ MCN
61 - 73
Feb 17, 2025
MCN @ SELA
88 - 82
Dec 30, 2024
SELA @ MCN
51 - 79
Feb 3, 2024
MCN @ SELA
74 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.6% more
McNeese: 9.1
vs
SE Louisiana: 7.3
Rebounding (L5)
+12.7% more
McNeese: 36.2
vs
SE Louisiana: 32.1
Blocks (L5)
+10.3% more
McNeese: 4.4
vs
SE Louisiana: 4.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
McNeese: 43.9%
vs
SE Louisiana: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SELA Score
56.0
61
MCN Score
76.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 31.5
33.0 / 26.0
Assists
10.8 / 11.8
17.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.0
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 41.2
48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 71.2
73.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 32.1
32.0 / 30.0
Steals
9.1 / 7.3
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 10.2
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SELA
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SELA
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
MCN
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MCN
SELA
MCN
SELA
ML
67%
22-11
70%
21-9
88%
28-4
66%
19-10
ATS
76%
25-8
60%
18-12
88%
28-4
67%
20-10
TTL
42%
14-19
70%
21-9
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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