AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
BLACK BEARS
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
NJIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (NJIT)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NJIT -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJIT)
ME By 1-7 points
0.3%
ME By 8-14 points
0.0%
NJIT By 1-7 points
2.2%
NJIT By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Maine
74
MAINE
NJIT
101
NJIT
Simulated Score
Maine
68
MAINE
NJIT
72
NJIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
ME @ NJIT
58 - 60
Feb 14, 2026
NJIT @ ME
67 - 58
Jan 10, 2026
ME @ NJIT
74 - 70
Feb 6, 2025
NJIT @ ME
74 - 78
Jan 16, 2025
ME @ NJIT
57 - 44
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+17.2% more
NJIT: 11.1
vs
Maine: 9.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.3%
NJIT: 73.5%
vs
Maine: 59.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.1%
NJIT: 33.5%
vs
Maine: 22.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+14.6% more
Maine: 12.9
vs
NJIT: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ME Score
74.0
74
NJIT Score
101.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 22.4
29.0 / 45.0
Assists
11.1 / 9.4
10.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.4
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.6 / 41.4
39.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 59.2
85.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 31.9
31.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.2 / 7.2
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 12.9
6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
NJIT
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJIT
ME
NJIT
ME
ML
78%
25-7
45%
14-17
62%
20-12
52%
16-15
ATS
72%
23-9
55%
17-14
62%
20-12
52%
16-15
TTL
47%
15-17
55%
17-14
100%
32-0
100%
31-0