Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / River Hawks @ Bearcats UML @ BING

UMASS LOWELL

RIVER HAWKSUML

7-10  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 2:00 PM ET
Events Center (Binghamton)
View Odds Details →

BINGHAMTON

BEARCATSBING

4-13  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
RIVER HAWKS
100%
📊
BEARCATS
0%
RIVER HAWKS --
BEARCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
BINGHAMTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Binghamton)
River HawksUML (-3.5) 0 BearcatsBING (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

River Hawks Cover

13.6%

Bearcats Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BING -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BING)

UML By 1-7 points

9.3%

UML By 8-14 points

2.7%

BING By 1-7 points

21.6%

BING By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
49
UMASS LOWELL
60
BINGHAMTON
Simulated Score
68
UMASS LOWELL
72
BINGHAMTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bearcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bearcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bearcats (+6) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Bearcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.0 Win
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim u147.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 BING @ UML 79 - 92
Jan 10, 2026 UML @ BING 73 - 68
Mar 1, 2025 BING @ UML 53 - 79
Feb 6, 2025 UML @ BING 54 - 66
Feb 22, 2024 BING @ UML 80 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +9.7%
Binghamton: 73.3% vs UMass Lowell: 63.6%
Rebounding (L5) +20.8% more
UMass Lowell: 36.1 vs Binghamton: 28.6
Assists (L5) +8.8% more
UMass Lowell: 12.2 vs Binghamton: 11.1
Field Goal % (L5) +6.1%
UMass Lowell: 50.6% vs Binghamton: 44.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UML Score 49.0 73
BING Score 60.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 36.5 36.0 / 44.0
Assists 11.1 / 12.2 11.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.5 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 50.6 46.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 73.3 / 63.6 68.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 28.6 / 36.1 32.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.5 / 5.9 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 11.7 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UML Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
BING
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UML Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.3
BING
14-13-0 (51.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.2
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4% Total +/-: +5.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BING
UML
BING
UML
ML
67% 20-10
70% 23-10
57% 17-13
58% 19-14
ATS
73% 22-8
70% 23-10
57% 17-13
58% 19-14
TTL
70% 21-9
58% 19-14
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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