UC IRVINE
ANTEATERSUCI
12-5 | Road
66
HAWAI'I
RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW
11-3 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
ANTEATERS
0%
RAINBOW WARRIORS
100%
ANTEATERS
--
RAINBOW WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (UC Irvine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCI -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)
UCI By 1-7 points
16.9%
UCI By 8-14 points
26.2%
HAW By 1-7 points
5.8%
HAW By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
UC Irvine
68
UC IRVINE
Hawai'i
54
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
UC Irvine
71
UC IRVINE
Hawai'i
67
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Anteaters
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Anteaters (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Anteaters (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
HAW @ UCI
71 - 64
Jan 29, 2026
HAW @ UCI
76 - 87
Jan 10, 2026
UCI @ HAW
66 - 67
Feb 15, 2025
UCI @ HAW
66 - 49
Jan 25, 2025
HAW @ UCI
55 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.1% more
UC Irvine: 7.7
vs
Hawai'i: 6.1
Blocks (L5)
+13.8% more
UC Irvine: 5.1
vs
Hawai'i: 4.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
UC Irvine: 40.3%
vs
Hawai'i: 35.1%
Assists (L5)
+17.3% more
Hawai'i: 18.1
vs
UC Irvine: 15.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCI Score
68.0
66
HAW Score
54.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 40.3
25.0 / 25.0
Assists
18.1 / 15.4
15.0 / 6.0
Blocks
4.4 / 5.1
11.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 48.7
41.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 70.2
69.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 37.6
36.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.1 / 7.7
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 11.7
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCI
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
HAW
Advantage
24-9-0
(72.7%)
Margin: 9.0
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCI
Advantage
16-16-1
(50.0%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
HAW
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 9.0
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -2.8
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
UCI
HAW
UCI
ML
61%
20-13
57%
20-15
68%
21-10
53%
18-16
ATS
67%
22-11
63%
22-13
68%
21-10
53%
18-16
TTL
61%
20-13
57%
20-15
100%
31-0
100%
34-0
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