WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
11-4 | Road
83
NEVADA
WOLF PACKNEV
11-4 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
WOLF PACK
0%
COWBOYS
--
WOLF PACK
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEVADA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Nevada)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEV -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEV)
WYO By 1-7 points
24.3%
WYO By 8-14 points
13.7%
NEV By 1-7 points
26.2%
NEV By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Wyoming
109
WYOMING
Nevada
110
NEVADA
Simulated Score
Wyoming
73
WYOMING
Nevada
71
NEVADA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wolf Pack
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wolf Pack (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
NEV @ WYO
73 - 83
Jan 10, 2026
WYO @ NEV
83 - 92
Feb 25, 2025
WYO @ NEV
61 - 84
Dec 28, 2024
NEV @ WYO
63 - 66
Feb 20, 2024
WYO @ NEV
58 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+23.2% more
Nevada: 3.7
vs
Wyoming: 3.0
Turnovers (L5)
+37.6% more
Wyoming: 13.8
vs
Nevada: 8.6
Rebounding (L5)
+14.5% more
Wyoming: 36.6
vs
Nevada: 31.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Wyoming: 46.7%
vs
Nevada: 42.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WYO Score
109.0
83
NEV Score
110.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 34.2
63.0 / 44.0
Assists
13.7 / 14.4
21.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.0
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 46.7
61.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
78.6 / 77.9
83.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 36.6
28.0 / 22.0
Steals
8.1 / 7.6
2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 13.8
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
NEV
Advantage
24-13-0
(64.9%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
NEV
Advantage
22-15-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
NEV
21-16-0
O: 56.8% / U: 43.2%
Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEV
WYO
NEV
WYO
ML
62%
23-14
52%
17-16
73%
27-10
70%
23-10
ATS
73%
27-10
64%
21-12
73%
27-10
70%
23-10
TTL
49%
18-19
64%
21-12
100%
37-0
100%
33-0
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