HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
7-8 | Road
79
COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
12-3 | Home
54
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON
100%
LIONS
0%
CRIMSON
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Columbia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
HARV By 1-7 points
24.3%
HARV By 8-14 points
13.7%
COLU By 1-7 points
26.2%
COLU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Harvard
83
HARVARD
Columbia
84
COLUMBIA
Simulated Score
Harvard
74
HARVARD
Columbia
70
COLUMBIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Crimson (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
COLU @ HARV
71 - 81
Jan 10, 2026
HARV @ COLU
79 - 54
Feb 15, 2025
COLU @ HARV
75 - 87
Jan 31, 2025
HARV @ COLU
90 - 82
Feb 17, 2024
HARV @ COLU
80 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+80.9% more
Columbia: 21.9
vs
Harvard: 12.1
Rebounding (L5)
+43.8% more
Columbia: 43.1
vs
Harvard: 30.0
Turnovers (L5)
+32.6% more
Columbia: 13.7
vs
Harvard: 10.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
Columbia: 52.9%
vs
Harvard: 45.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HARV Score
83.0
79
COLU Score
84.0
54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 35.5
13.0 / 48.0
Assists
21.9 / 12.1
8.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.0
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
52.9 / 45.8
38.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 77.8
91.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
43.1 / 30.0
30.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.1 / 6.6
6.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 10.3
14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
COLU
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HARV
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
COLU
Advantage
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLU
HARV
COLU
HARV
ML
44%
12-15
45%
13-16
56%
15-12
52%
15-14
ATS
59%
16-11
45%
13-16
56%
15-12
52%
15-14
TTL
74%
20-7
41%
12-17
100%
27-0
100%
29-0
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