Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Bears FIU @ MOST

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

9-6  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 5:00 PM ET
Great Southern Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

MISSOURI STATE

BEARSMOST

9-6  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
BEARS
100%
PANTHERS --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Florida International)
PanthersFIU (-3.5) 0 BearsMOST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

100.0%

Bears Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FIU -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

FIU By 1-7 points

0.4%

FIU By 8-14 points

2.2%

MOST By 1-7 points

0.0%

MOST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
85
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
51
MISSOURI STATE
Simulated Score
68
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
75
MISSOURI STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 MOST @ FIU 75 - 72
Feb 21, 2026 MOST @ FIU 67 - 70
Jan 10, 2026 FIU @ MOST 71 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +16.7% more
Florida International: 4.6 vs Missouri State: 3.8
Free Throw % (L5) +7.0%
Florida International: 73.7% vs Missouri State: 66.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
Florida International: 49.0% vs Missouri State: 44.5%
Steals (L5) +11.7% more
Missouri State: 9.0 vs Florida International: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FIU Score 85.0 71
MOST Score 51.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 30.6 32.0 / 22.0
Assists 13.7 / 14.4 18.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.6 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 49.0 47.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 66.6 / 73.7 61.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 35.1 / 34.2 40.0 / 33.0
Steals 9.0 / 8.0 6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 12.8 16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
25%MONEY75%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FIU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
MOST Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FIU
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
MOST Advantage
18-13-0 (58.1%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8
MOST
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MOST
FIU
MOST
FIU
ML
65% 22-12
58% 18-13
62% 21-13
65% 20-11
ATS
68% 23-11
52% 16-15
62% 21-13
65% 20-11
TTL
44% 15-19
65% 20-11
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 TV Schedule Revealed: Up to Seven…
courant 1 day, 5 hours ago
Jason Kidd in Advanced Talks to Join ESPN's NBA Countdown as Ana…
yahoo 2 days, 20 hours ago
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 12 hours ago
Northwestern Opens Ryan Field with Record-Breaking Debut Against…
si 6 days ago
Iowa State's Two-Center Experiment: Will Buchanan and Pleta Shar…
iowastatedaily 1 week ago