DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
14-24 | Road
107
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
17-20 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
100%
BULLS
0%
MAVERICKS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
DAL By 1-7 points
15.3%
DAL By 8-14 points
5.8%
CHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
118
DALLAS
Chicago
125
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Dallas
109
DALLAS
Chicago
115
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o233.0
Loss
Proj Total: 243.0
D
Sim
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
CHI @ DAL
128 - 149
Jan 10, 2026
DAL @ CHI
107 - 125
Mar 29, 2025
DAL @ CHI
120 - 119
Nov 6, 2024
CHI @ DAL
99 - 119
Mar 11, 2024
DAL @ CHI
127 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.8% more
Chicago: 5.9
vs
Dallas: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+11.6% more
Chicago: 28.4
vs
Dallas: 25.5
Turnovers (L5)
+18.9% more
Dallas: 17.3
vs
Chicago: 14.0
Steals (L5)
+10.5% more
Dallas: 5.6
vs
Chicago: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
118.0
107
CHI Score
125.0
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 35.4
33.0 / 37.0
Assists
28.4 / 25.5
31.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.9 / 4.2
7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 49.0
52.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 78.6
83.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
45.4 / 47.5
52.0 / 42.0
Steals
5.0 / 5.6
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 17.3
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
DAL
CHI
DAL
ML
56%
54-42
62%
63-39
57%
46-35
54%
44-37
ATS
65%
62-33-1
67%
68-34
57%
46-35
54%
44-37
TTL
58%
56-40
59%
60-41-1
100%
81-0
100%
81-0
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