LA
CLIPPERSLAC
14-23 | Road
98
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
28-9 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
PISTONS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
26.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
24.3%
DET By 1-7 points
16.9%
DET By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
120
LA
Detroit
114
DETROIT
Simulated Score
LA
108
LA
Detroit
115
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-2)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o214.5
Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u214.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
LAC @ DET
98 - 92
Dec 28, 2025
DET @ LAC
99 - 112
Mar 5, 2025
DET @ LAC
115 - 123
Feb 24, 2025
LAC @ DET
97 - 106
Feb 10, 2024
DET @ LAC
106 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.7%
LA: 88.0%
vs
Detroit: 78.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
LA: 43.7%
vs
Detroit: 40.0%
Steals (L5)
+43.8% more
Detroit: 10.9
vs
LA: 7.6
Blocks (L5)
+25.8% more
Detroit: 8.6
vs
LA: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
120.0
98
DET Score
114.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.0 / 43.7
23.0 / 35.0
Assists
29.0 / 24.7
21.0 / 17.0
Blocks
8.6 / 6.8
13.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 50.8
40.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
78.3 / 88.0
72.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 39.5
47.0 / 37.0
Steals
10.9 / 7.6
18.0 / 18.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 13.8
25.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
LAC
DET
LAC
ML
55%
64-53
60%
59-40
49%
47-49
55%
45-37
ATS
53%
60-54-3
66%
65-33-1
49%
47-49
55%
45-37
TTL
60%
70-46-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
96-0
100%
82-0
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