Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hornets @ Jazz CHA @ UTAH

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

13-25  |  Road

150
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 9:30 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

13-24  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
HORNETS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Charlotte)
HornetsCHA (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

84.1%

Jazz Cover

15.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)

CHA By 1-7 points

23.0%

CHA By 8-14 points

27.2%

UTAH By 1-7 points

10.7%

UTAH By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
122
CHARLOTTE
112
UTAH
Simulated Score
108
CHARLOTTE
112
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hornets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hornets (+5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u239.5 Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim u239.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 CHA @ UTAH 150 - 95
Nov 2, 2025 UTAH @ CHA 103 - 126
Mar 31, 2025 UTAH @ CHA 106 - 110
Jan 15, 2025 CHA @ UTAH 117 - 112
Feb 22, 2024 CHA @ UTAH 115 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +20.6% more
Charlotte: 4.3 vs Utah: 3.4
Turnovers (L5) +15.1% more
Charlotte: 16.8 vs Utah: 14.2
Free Throw % (L5) +7.6%
Charlotte: 80.5% vs Utah: 72.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.4%
Charlotte: 39.8% vs Utah: 33.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHA Score 122.0 150
UTAH Score 112.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.4 / 39.8 23.0 / 41.0
Assists 31.5 / 25.6 22.0 / 35.0
Blocks 3.4 / 4.3 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 45.2 41.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 72.9 / 80.5 76.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 46.0 / 44.0 31.0 / 65.0
Steals 9.2 / 5.9 6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 16.8 15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
CHA
UTAH
CHA
ML
60% 96-63
61% 60-39
48% 40-43
48% 40-44
ATS
68% 108-51
60% 59-40
48% 40-43
48% 40-44
TTL
75% 119-39-1
58% 57-42
100% 83-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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