SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
26-11 | Road
100
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
24-13 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
CELTICS
100%
SPURS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
27.2%
SA By 8-14 points
23.0%
BOS By 1-7 points
18.6%
BOS By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
120
SAN ANTONIO
Boston
115
BOSTON
Simulated Score
San Antonio
118
SAN ANTONIO
Boston
109
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+1)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Spurs (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o232.0
Loss
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u232.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
BOS @ SA
116 - 125
Jan 10, 2026
SA @ BOS
100 - 95
Mar 29, 2025
BOS @ SA
121 - 111
Feb 12, 2025
SA @ BOS
103 - 116
Jan 17, 2024
SA @ BOS
98 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.6% more
San Antonio: 8.6
vs
Boston: 5.5
Turnovers (L5)
+16.2% more
San Antonio: 12.9
vs
Boston: 10.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.2%
San Antonio: 82.3%
vs
Boston: 80.1%
Blocks (L5)
+19.2% more
Boston: 5.4
vs
San Antonio: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
120.0
100
BOS Score
115.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.8 / 25.9
36.0 / 23.0
Assists
23.8 / 25.0
22.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.4 / 4.5
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 44.6
41.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
80.1 / 82.3
75.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
46.0 / 49.3
52.0 / 53.0
Steals
5.5 / 8.6
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 12.9
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
BOS
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
SA
BOS
SA
ML
57%
61-46
60%
111-73
53%
47-41
58%
61-44
ATS
59%
61-43-3
58%
107-76-1
53%
47-41
58%
61-44
TTL
56%
60-47
74%
134-47-3
100%
88-0
100%
105-0
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