MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
8-8 | Road
64
HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
12-4 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
PRIDE
0%
HAWKS
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOF -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
MONM By 1-7 points
16.9%
MONM By 8-14 points
6.8%
HOF By 1-7 points
26.8%
HOF By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Monmouth
80
MONMOUTH
Hofstra
86
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
Monmouth
72
MONMOUTH
Hofstra
76
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Pride (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
MONM @ HOF
69 - 75
Jan 31, 2026
HOF @ MONM
73 - 57
Jan 10, 2026
MONM @ HOF
64 - 67
Mar 8, 2025
HOF @ MONM
60 - 65
Feb 20, 2025
MONM @ HOF
68 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+9.3% more
Hofstra: 39.1
vs
Monmouth: 35.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Hofstra: 41.8%
vs
Monmouth: 35.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.7%
Hofstra: 74.3%
vs
Monmouth: 71.5%
Steals (L5)
+49.1% more
Monmouth: 8.0
vs
Hofstra: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONM Score
80.0
64
HOF Score
86.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.8 / 35.1
23.0 / 35.0
Assists
10.8 / 14.4
8.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.4 / 6.4
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 45.6
27.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
74.3 / 71.5
88.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 35.8
49.0 / 38.0
Steals
4.1 / 8.0
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 11.5
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
MONM
HOF
MONM
ML
77%
27-8
62%
21-13
71%
25-10
64%
21-12
ATS
83%
29-6
62%
21-13
71%
25-10
64%
21-12
TTL
51%
18-17
59%
20-14
100%
35-0
100%
33-0
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