FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
9-7 | Road
81
ST. BONAVENTURE
BONNIESSBU
11-4 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
BONNIES
100%
RAMS
--
BONNIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Fordham)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FOR -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)
FOR By 1-7 points
24.3%
FOR By 8-14 points
26.8%
SBU By 1-7 points
12.2%
SBU By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Fordham
95
FORDHAM
St. Bonaventure
86
ST. BONAVENTURE
Simulated Score
Fordham
63
FORDHAM
St. Bonaventure
71
ST. BONAVENTURE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bonnies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rams (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bonnies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
SBU @ FOR
70 - 67
Jan 10, 2026
FOR @ SBU
81 - 77
Feb 1, 2025
FOR @ SBU
72 - 74
Jan 4, 2025
SBU @ FOR
86 - 66
Feb 14, 2024
SBU @ FOR
85 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.9% more
Fordham: 11.9
vs
St. Bonaventure: 9.9
Rebounding (L5)
+15.1% more
Fordham: 41.1
vs
St. Bonaventure: 34.9
Blocks (L5)
+90.3% more
St. Bonaventure: 2.6
vs
Fordham: 1.3
Assists (L5)
+12.9% more
St. Bonaventure: 14.9
vs
Fordham: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FOR Score
95.0
81
SBU Score
86.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 27.6
43.0 / 42.0
Assists
14.9 / 13.2
13.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.6 / 1.3
6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 41.9
47.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 65.7
90.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 41.1
29.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.2 / 5.2
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 11.9
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
SBU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
SBU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SBU
FOR
SBU
FOR
ML
59%
20-14
59%
19-13
61%
20-13
59%
19-13
ATS
50%
17-17
59%
19-13
61%
20-13
59%
19-13
TTL
38%
13-21
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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