WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
11-5 | Road
58
DREXEL
DRAGONSDREX
7-10 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
TRIBE
0%
DRAGONS
100%
TRIBE
--
DRAGONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
183.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DREX +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)
W&M By 1-7 points
27.2%
W&M By 8-14 points
20.1%
DREX By 1-7 points
21.6%
DREX By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
William & Mary
93
WILLIAM & MARY
Drexel
90
DREXEL
Simulated Score
William & Mary
65
WILLIAM & MARY
Drexel
72
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tribe
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dragons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dragons (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Dragons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 183.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
W&M @ DREX
58 - 64
Feb 15, 2025
DREX @ W&M
59 - 72
Feb 6, 2025
W&M @ DREX
66 - 86
Jan 6, 2024
DREX @ W&M
77 - 55
Dec 31, 2022
W&M @ DREX
56 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+33.5% more
William & Mary: 8.4
vs
Drexel: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+18.9% more
William & Mary: 15.0
vs
Drexel: 12.2
Turnovers (L5)
+15.2% more
William & Mary: 12.3
vs
Drexel: 10.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
William & Mary: 44.5%
vs
Drexel: 40.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
W&M Score
93.0
58
DREX Score
90.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 31.3
44.0 / 22.0
Assists
12.2 / 15.0
18.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.9
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
40.5 / 44.5
51.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 68.0
62.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 36.8
37.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.6 / 8.4
8.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 12.3
19.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
W&M
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
DREX
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
W&M
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
W&M
DREX
W&M
ML
58%
19-14
55%
17-14
81%
26-6
61%
19-12
ATS
70%
23-10
63%
19-11-1
81%
26-6
61%
19-12
TTL
48%
16-17
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
