TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
8-9 | Road
87
NORTHEASTERN
HUSKIESNE
5-10 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
HUSKIES
100%
TIGERS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Towson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOW -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)
TOW By 1-7 points
24.3%
TOW By 8-14 points
26.8%
NE By 1-7 points
12.2%
NE By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Towson
67
TOWSON
Northeastern
58
NORTHEASTERN
Simulated Score
Towson
68
TOWSON
Northeastern
72
NORTHEASTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.0
Loss
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u144.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
TOW @ NE
87 - 78
Jan 27, 2025
TOW @ NE
75 - 65
Jan 9, 2025
NE @ TOW
73 - 80
Feb 1, 2024
NE @ TOW
76 - 83
Jan 13, 2024
TOW @ NE
59 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+27.5% more
Towson: 37.4
vs
Northeastern: 27.1
Turnovers (L5)
+15.9% more
Towson: 11.6
vs
Northeastern: 9.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.5%
Towson: 71.9%
vs
Northeastern: 69.5%
Blocks (L5)
+86.3% more
Northeastern: 3.8
vs
Towson: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOW Score
67.0
87
NE Score
58.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.5 / 28.3
31.0 / 50.0
Assists
17.9 / 10.7
13.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.8 / 2.1
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.7 / 36.1
44.0 / 61.0
Free Throw %
69.5 / 71.9
86.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
27.1 / 37.4
21.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.4 / 5.9
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 11.6
8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
Advantage
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NE
TOW
NE
TOW
ML
70%
21-9
66%
21-11
60%
18-12
62%
20-12
ATS
63%
19-11
66%
21-11
60%
18-12
62%
20-12
TTL
53%
16-14
53%
17-15
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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