Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Orange @ Panthers SYR @ PITT

SYRACUSE

ORANGESYR

10-5  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 2:00 PM ET
Petersen Events Center
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

7-8  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
ORANGE
0%
📊
PANTHERS
100%
ORANGE --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
SYRACUSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Syracuse)
OrangeSYR (-3.5) 0 PanthersPITT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Orange Cover

99.9%

Panthers Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SYR -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SYR)

SYR By 1-7 points

0.6%

SYR By 8-14 points

3.3%

PITT By 1-7 points

0.1%

PITT By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
86
SYRACUSE
54
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
72
SYRACUSE
78
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Orange Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Orange (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 PITT @ SYR 71 - 69
Jan 10, 2026 SYR @ PITT 83 - 72
Feb 18, 2025 SYR @ PITT 69 - 80
Jan 25, 2025 PITT @ SYR 77 - 73
Jan 16, 2024 SYR @ PITT 69 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +78.3% more
Syracuse: 7.6 vs Pittsburgh: 1.7
Turnovers (L5) +22.7% more
Syracuse: 12.7 vs Pittsburgh: 9.8
Rebounding (L5) +19.5% more
Syracuse: 38.3 vs Pittsburgh: 30.9
Free Throw % (L5) +4.9%
Syracuse: 69.7% vs Pittsburgh: 64.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SYR Score 86.0 83
PITT Score 54.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.3 / 34.5 19.0 / 45.0
Assists 12.5 / 11.6 13.0 / 17.0
Blocks 1.7 / 7.6 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.8 / 44.4 44.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 64.8 / 69.7 100.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 30.9 / 38.3 30.0 / 28.0
Steals 8.0 / 4.9 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 12.7 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SYR Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SYR
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
PITT Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.6
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PITT
SYR
PITT
SYR
ML
58% 19-14
78% 25-7
45% 15-18
69% 22-10
ATS
64% 21-12
69% 22-10
45% 15-18
69% 22-10
TTL
61% 20-13
66% 21-11
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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