WOFFORD
TERRIERSWOF
11-5 | Road
97
MERCER
BEARSMER
9-7 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
0%
BEARS
100%
TERRIERS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
MERCER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MER +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MER)
WOF By 1-7 points
26.8%
WOF By 8-14 points
18.6%
MER By 1-7 points
23.0%
MER By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Wofford
91
WOFFORD
Mercer
89
MERCER
Simulated Score
Wofford
70
WOFFORD
Mercer
73
MERCER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Terriers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Win
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
MER @ WOF
77 - 80
Jan 10, 2026
WOF @ MER
97 - 109
Feb 8, 2025
WOF @ MER
77 - 66
Jan 18, 2025
MER @ WOF
49 - 69
Feb 14, 2024
WOF @ MER
73 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+18.3% more
Wofford: 15.7
vs
Mercer: 12.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Wofford: 41.6%
vs
Mercer: 38.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+31.6% more
Mercer: 11.0
vs
Wofford: 8.3
Blocks (L5)
+16.8% more
Mercer: 3.7
vs
Wofford: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WOF Score
91.0
97
MER Score
89.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.9 / 41.6
63.0 / 50.0
Assists
12.8 / 15.7
23.0 / 15.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.2
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 47.9
64.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 71.7
87.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 35.5
34.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.6 / 7.4
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 8.3
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
MER
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
MER
Advantage
19-10-0
(65.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
MER
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MER
WOF
MER
WOF
ML
55%
17-14
39%
12-19
71%
22-9
61%
19-12
ATS
58%
18-13
58%
18-13
71%
22-9
61%
19-12
TTL
61%
19-12
65%
20-11
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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