Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Wildcats URI @ DAV

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

9-7  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 2:00 PM ET
John M. Belk Arena
View Odds Details →

DAVIDSON

WILDCATSDAV

10-5  |  Home

45
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
RAMS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Davidson)
RamsURI (-3.5) 0 WildcatsDAV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

0.0%

Wildcats Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAV -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)

URI By 1-7 points

0.0%

URI By 8-14 points

0.0%

DAV By 1-7 points

0.1%

DAV By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
58
RHODE ISLAND
96
DAVIDSON
Simulated Score
68
RHODE ISLAND
72
DAVIDSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o134.5 Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 URI @ DAV 70 - 45
Jan 18, 2025 DAV @ URI 90 - 92
Jan 9, 2024 URI @ DAV 79 - 74
Mar 4, 2023 DAV @ URI 68 - 54
Feb 12, 2022 DAV @ URI 65 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +26.4% more
Davidson: 14.6 vs Rhode Island: 11.6
Rebounding (L5) +10.7% more
Davidson: 35.1 vs Rhode Island: 31.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.4%
Davidson: 37.0% vs Rhode Island: 30.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.5%
Davidson: 67.4% vs Rhode Island: 61.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
URI Score 58.0 70
DAV Score 96.0 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 30.5 18.0 / 37.0
Assists 14.6 / 11.6 7.0 / 17.0
Blocks 4.2 / 4.3 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 40.3 35.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 67.4 / 61.9 63.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 35.1 / 31.7 23.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.6 / 8.2 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 14.0 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
DAV Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
DAV Advantage
13-17-2 (43.3%)
Margin: 4.1 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAV
URI
DAV
URI
ML
64% 21-12
62% 20-12
58% 19-14
59% 19-13
ATS
48% 16-17
56% 18-14
58% 19-14
59% 19-13
TTL
52% 17-16
56% 18-14
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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