Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mountaineers @ Chanticleers APP @ CCU

APP STATE

MOUNTAINEERSAPP

10-7  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 1:00 PM ET
The HTC Center
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

8-9  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
📊
CHANTICLEERS
100%
MOUNTAINEERS --
CHANTICLEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
APP STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (App State)
MountaineersAPP (-3.5) 0 ChanticleersCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mountaineers Cover

94.5%

Chanticleers Cover

5.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around APP -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (APP)

APP By 1-7 points

13.7%

APP By 8-14 points

24.3%

CCU By 1-7 points

4.0%

CCU By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
68
APP STATE
52
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
75
APP STATE
78
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mountaineers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chanticleers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mountaineers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Chanticleers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 APP @ CCU 62 - 67
Dec 18, 2025 CCU @ APP 49 - 67
Feb 13, 2025 APP @ CCU 64 - 46
Jan 8, 2025 CCU @ APP 51 - 74
Jan 20, 2024 CCU @ APP 59 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +12.6% more
App State: 11.7 vs Coastal Carolina: 10.2
Turnovers (L5) +9.3% more
App State: 11.3 vs Coastal Carolina: 10.3
Rebounding (L5) +9.0% more
App State: 42.2 vs Coastal Carolina: 38.4
Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
App State: 42.5% vs Coastal Carolina: 37.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
APP Score 68.0 62
CCU Score 52.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 30.3 45.0 / 29.0
Assists 10.2 / 11.7 11.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.3 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 37.9 / 42.5 50.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 76.6 / 59.6 55.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 38.4 / 42.2 32.0 / 34.0
Steals 4.5 / 3.7 2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 11.3 7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
APP
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
CCU
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
APP
16-13-1 (55.2%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
APP
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -1.2
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
APP
CCU
APP
ML
41% 13-19
62% 20-12
55% 17-14
59% 19-13
ATS
38% 12-20
59% 19-13
55% 17-14
59% 19-13
TTL
75% 24-8
69% 22-10
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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