CLEMSON
TIGERSCLEM
13-3 | Road
76
NOTRE DAME
FIGHTING IRISHND
10-5 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
FIGHTING IRISH
0%
TIGERS
--
FIGHTING IRISH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NOTRE DAME
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Notre Dame)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ND -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ND)
CLEM By 1-7 points
24.3%
CLEM By 8-14 points
13.7%
ND By 1-7 points
26.2%
ND By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Clemson
75
CLEMSON
Notre Dame
76
NOTRE DAME
Simulated Score
Clemson
75
CLEMSON
Notre Dame
71
NOTRE DAME
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Fighting Irish
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Fighting Irish (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Tigers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
CLEM @ ND
76 - 61
Feb 26, 2025
ND @ CLEM
68 - 83
Mar 2, 2024
CLEM @ ND
62 - 69
Mar 4, 2023
ND @ CLEM
64 - 87
Feb 12, 2022
ND @ CLEM
76 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+42.7% more
Notre Dame: 2.2
vs
Clemson: 1.6
Rebounding (L5)
+35.1% more
Notre Dame: 42.6
vs
Clemson: 31.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Notre Dame: 34.2%
vs
Clemson: 32.1%
Steals (L5)
+59.6% more
Clemson: 6.6
vs
Notre Dame: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLEM Score
75.0
76
ND Score
76.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 32.1
43.0 / 27.0
Assists
11.7 / 11.9
7.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.2 / 1.6
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.7 / 46.8
43.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
65.8 / 68.4
67.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
42.6 / 31.6
29.0 / 31.0
Steals
2.7 / 6.6
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 10.9
14.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLEM
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
ND
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLEM
Advantage
16-17-1
(48.5%)
Margin: 7.0
ATS +/-: +0.1
ND
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8%
Total +/-: -2.1
ND
22-9-0
O: 71.0% / U: 29.0%
Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ND
CLEM
ND
CLEM
ML
65%
20-11
63%
22-13
77%
24-7
72%
23-9
ATS
55%
17-14
71%
25-10
77%
24-7
72%
23-9
TTL
68%
21-10
69%
24-11
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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