AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
100%
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
RAMBLERS
--
REVOLUTIONARIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (George Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GW -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)
LUC By 1-7 points
8.0%
LUC By 8-14 points
2.2%
GW By 1-7 points
20.1%
GW By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Chicago
75
LOYOLA CHICAGO
George Washington
87
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Loyola Chicago
71
LOYOLA CHICAGO
George Washington
75
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Revolutionaries
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Revolutionaries
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Revolutionaries (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Revolutionaries (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
GW @ LUC
62 - 68
Jan 10, 2026
LUC @ GW
66 - 101
Feb 26, 2025
GW @ LUC
57 - 77
Feb 10, 2024
LUC @ GW
81 - 73
Dec 31, 2022
GW @ LUC
97 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+50.4% more
George Washington: 7.1
vs
Loyola Chicago: 4.7
Assists (L5)
+16.1% more
George Washington: 15.4
vs
Loyola Chicago: 13.3
Turnovers (L5)
+9.3% more
George Washington: 15.1
vs
Loyola Chicago: 13.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
George Washington: 37.8%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 30.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LUC Score
75.0
66
GW Score
87.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 30.1
39.0 / 22.0
Assists
15.4 / 13.3
19.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.8
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.0 / 42.5
47.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
68.1 / 66.7
95.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
38.3 / 36.7
42.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.1 / 4.7
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 13.9
8.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
GW
Advantage
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
GW
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
LUC
GW
LUC
ML
63%
22-13
55%
18-15
60%
21-14
50%
16-16
ATS
69%
24-11
64%
21-12
60%
21-14
50%
16-16
TTL
60%
21-14
76%
25-8
100%
35-0
100%
32-0