DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
10-6 | Road
60
UCONN
HUSKIESCONN
15-1 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEMONS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
BLUE DEMONS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (UConn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)
DEP By 1-7 points
0.0%
DEP By 8-14 points
0.0%
CONN By 1-7 points
0.1%
CONN By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
DePaul
51
DEPAUL
UConn
91
UCONN
Simulated Score
DePaul
63
DEPAUL
UConn
82
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (-19.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
DEP @ CONN
60 - 72
Dec 21, 2025
CONN @ DEP
72 - 54
Jan 29, 2025
DEP @ CONN
61 - 72
Jan 1, 2025
CONN @ DEP
81 - 68
Feb 14, 2024
CONN @ DEP
101 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+51.5% more
UConn: 8.1
vs
DePaul: 5.4
Assists (L5)
+45.3% more
UConn: 21.0
vs
DePaul: 14.4
Rebounding (L5)
+8.9% more
UConn: 39.5
vs
DePaul: 36.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.4%
UConn: 40.4%
vs
DePaul: 33.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEP Score
51.0
60
CONN Score
91.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.4 / 33.0
40.0 / 31.0
Assists
21.0 / 14.4
16.0 / 12.0
Blocks
5.1 / 5.2
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 42.0
50.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 68.0
84.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
39.5 / 36.2
30.0 / 25.0
Steals
8.1 / 5.4
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 13.0
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEP
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
CONN
Advantage
34-6-0
(85.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEP
Advantage
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
CONN
18-22-0
(45.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5%
Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
DEP
CONN
DEP
ML
76%
29-9
59%
19-13
66%
23-12
80%
24-6
ATS
74%
28-10
50%
16-16
66%
23-12
80%
24-6
TTL
50%
19-19
53%
17-15
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
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