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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

22-18-3  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
View Odds Details →

OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

20-18-5  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Brady Tkachuk
GOALTENDER

Brady Tkachuk

#8 | Left Wing
@
Artem Zub
GOALTENDER

Artem Zub

#2 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Brady Tkachuk None-None -- -- --
Artem Zub None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
SENATORS
0%
PANTHERS --
SENATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Ottawa)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 SenatorsOTT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

2.3%

Senators Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)

FLA By 1 goal

0.9%

FLA By 2-3 goals

0.3%

OTT By 1 goal

6.6%

OTT By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
FLORIDA
5
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
4
FLORIDA
2
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Senators Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Senators (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Panthers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 FLA @ OTT 1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026 OTT @ FLA 3 - 6
Jan 10, 2026 FLA @ OTT 3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025 OTT @ FLA 2 - 6
Apr 5, 2025 FLA @ OTT 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +29.7% more
Ottawa: 13.5 vs Florida: 10.4
Hits (L5) +11.9% more
Ottawa: 28.5 vs Florida: 25.4
Shots on Goal (L5) +10.1% more
Ottawa: 31.9 vs Florida: 29.0
Power Play % (L5) +3.0%
Ottawa: 8.7% vs Florida: 5.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 1.0 3
OTT Score 5.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.5 / 10.4 14.0 / 6.0
Faceoff % 51.1 / 50.0 54.1 / 45.9
Hits 28.5 / 25.4 20.0 / 24.0
Power Play % 8.7 / 5.6 0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 31.9 / 29.0 19.0 / 21.0
Takeaways 4.3 / 5.2 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
40%MONEY60%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
FLA
OTT
FLA
ML
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
ATS
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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